(Paul: NHC hurricane forecasters in Miami do a pretty good job predicting WHERE a hurricane will come ashore, certainly within 36-48 hours of landfall. What is more problematic and often not caught in advance is sudden weakening or intensification of a hurricane before it hits land. Why is this a potential nightmare? Many residents living along the coast may feel a false sense of security if a Category 1 hurricane threatens. But if, overnight - unexpectedly - the hurricane explodes in intensity to a Category 3 or 4, that could leave little or no time for last-minute evacuations, increasing the potential for loss of life).
Click onto the complete USA Today article.